The big news yesterday was that the Houston Texans acquired Qb Matt Schaub from the Atlanta Falcons. To get Schaub, the Texans gave up their second rounder in this year's draft, their second rounder in 2008 and they also swapped positions with Atlanta in the first round. This trade has some big implications for various teams come draft time and I'm going to throw around some possibilities on how things might go down from here on out.
First off, Houston is investing a lot in Schaub. They're giving up 2 second rounders, dropping 2 slots in the first round, and gave him a 6-year, 48 million dollar contract. That's a lot for a guy who hasn't done much yet in this league. So far in his career, he has started 2 games, lost both and has 6 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Not very impressive.
What this also means is that Houston will probably cut or try to trade David Carr. I think that Carr gets too much blame for the struggles of the Texans and I want to see what he can do when he's surrounded with decent talent. During his time in Houston he had Andre Johnson and not much more. So again, is Schaub so much better than Carr that he can overcome these obstacles and turn the franchise around??
With Carr probably on his way out, the question becomes where he will end up. The Vikings are supposed to be interested and would make sense. I'd love to see Carr in Miami, but we already have Culpepper and I'd want to know first if Daunte will be back at 100%. If there's any doubt about Pep, I'd want Carr in Miami, but if the coaching staff is confident that Pep will be back to his old form, Miami obviously would not need him.
Detroit, Cleveland and Oakland are all teams that are in the market for a quarterback so they could also make a run at Carr instead of trying their luck in the draft. Wherever Carr ends up, it will shake up the draft even more.
So, the teams in the top 10 now have various ways they can go. Oakland could try a run at Carr or stick with JaMarcus Russell like everyone is expecting them to do. Detroit, sitting at number 2 will probably affect the draft more than any other team. They could take Brady Quinn, they could make a run at Carr and take Joe Thomas at number 2, they could take Thomas at 2 and try to get Drew Stanton in the next round or they could even trade down with a team that really wants Calvin Johnson.
Cleveland also has some decisions to make. First off, is Charley Frye their guy?
If Brady Quinn and Adrian Peterson are there, I think Cleveland should go with Quinn. Franchise quarterbacks are a lot harder to find than running backs but if Quinn is gone, there is no doubt that they should take Peterson. They could take Peterson and Troy Smith later in the draft and instantly improve their offense. I could see them taking Calvin Johnson, especially now that Kellen Winslow might miss time but they need to be sure about the Qb position first.
Calvin Johnson is another interesting guy here. He's being called the best receiving prospect of the past 15 years and that could have teams trying to move up for him. Tampa needs him, Atlanta could most definately use him as could Miami. Miami and Atlanta have some extra picks that they could use to move up. With Vick, Dunn, Norwood, Johnson and Crumpler the Falcons suddenly have a very dangerous offense while Miami could have Culpepper (Carr?), Ronnie Brown, Ricky Williams, Chris Chambers and Johnson. But, there's a lot of "if's" in there and it's probably far fetched.
Houston, depending on what the other teams do can get Adrian Peterson fall to them at number 10. If he's there, Houston should take him unless they feel that he's not durable and that they're better off by giving Schaub protection, in the form of Levi Brown. As for Atlanta, if they don't move up for Calvin, I think it's pretty safe to say that they take Laron Landry at number 8.
Landry could fall into that same category as Ed Reed, Sean Taylor and Troy Polamalu and the Falcons would be very happy with a playmaker like that on defense.
Miami, sitting at number 9 could probably end up with one of these players. Brady Quinn, Amobi Okoye or Jamaal Anderson. All 3 would be great picks in my opinion. Quinn could be the Qb of the future, Okoye is an amazing talent who's only 19 years old and Anderson would be great opposite Jason Taylor.
But yeah, these are all speculations and no one can really say for sure yet what is going to happen. What the Texans do with David Carr will probably have some big impacts though...